A recent trend to watch for is large home favorites and unders.When the betting public loves an under - basically in the 66%+ to 70%+ range - both sample sizes are about 15-20 games under. Unders on higher totals (10 or more 50.8%) have performed slightly better than unders with lower totals (below 8 48.7%) in that span, while the sweet spot of totals in the 8 to 9.5 range have actually turned a profit at 51.7%, with a $100 bettor up $2,822.In that almost 13,000 game sample size since 2017, here are a few notes on unders: 500 for six consecutive seasons dating back to 2017 (basically a 51% unders, 49% overs situation). Even though its been a small margin, unders have been above. Unders have been the rage in MLB for some time now.Of those six seasons since 2017, only one produced a profitable season for big favorites on the run line.

A simple question: How do big favorites perform on the run line? We started seeing big favorites really in 2017 - since that year, we've seen 286 teams close as a -300 favorite or higher.

Mlb opening day estimated lines